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Hurricane MANUEL Public Advisory Number 21
2013-09-19 16:39:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 191439 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013 800 AM PDT THU SEP 19 2013 ...MANUEL MAKES LANDFALL WEST OF CULIACAN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.0N 107.8W ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SE OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SE OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ RADAR DATA FROM GUASAVE MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE EYE OF MANUEL MADE LANDFALL WEST OF CULIACAN SHORTLY AFTER 500 AM PDT. AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MANUEL WAS LOCATED JUST INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST. MANUEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY....AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NOW THAT MANUEL HAS MOVED OVER LAND...WEAKENING WILL BEGIN SOON...AND MANUEL IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF MEXICO BY FRIDAY NIGHT. MANUEL IS A SMALL HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INLAND WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MANUEL IS ALSO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE STATE OF NAYARIT. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE MANUEL MADE LANDFALL. THE STORM SURGE WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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