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Tropical Storm Raymond Forecast Advisory Number 4
2019-11-15 21:35:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI NOV 15 2019 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 152035 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 2100 UTC FRI NOV 15 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RAYMOND. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.6N 109.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.2N 110.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.0N 110.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.0N 109.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 25.1N 110.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 109.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY/MELLO
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