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Summary for Hurricane Norman (EP1/EP162018)

2018-09-02 22:33:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...SEVERE HURRICANE NORMAN HEADING TOWARD THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sun Sep 2 the center of Norman was located near 18.1, -130.9 with movement WNW at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 948 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 130 mph.

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Hurricane Norman Public Advisory Number 23

2018-09-02 22:33:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Sep 02 2018 413 WTPZ31 KNHC 022033 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Norman Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162018 200 PM PDT Sun Sep 02 2018 ...SEVERE HURRICANE NORMAN HEADING TOWARD THE CENTRAL PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 130.9W ABOUT 1395 MI...2250 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the distinct eye of Hurricane Norman was located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 130.9 West. Norman is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h). This motion is expected to continue for the next 2 to 3 days with a gradual decrease in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds remain near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Norman is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely today and Monday, but a gradual weakening trend should begin thereafter. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 948 mb (28.00 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Hurricane Norman Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23

2018-09-02 22:33:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 02 2018 433 FOPZ11 KNHC 022033 PWSEP1 HURRICANE NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 2100 UTC SUN SEP 02 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 135W 34 16 79(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 20N 135W 50 1 45(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 20N 135W 64 X 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 140W 34 X 3( 3) 91(94) 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) 68(68) 12(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) 20N 140W 64 X X( X) 39(39) 13(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 50(73) 2(75) X(75) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 34(35) 1(36) X(36) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) X(13) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 18(28) 2(30) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 12(34) 25N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 25N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 30N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 2(20) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Hurricane Norman Forecast Advisory Number 23

2018-09-02 22:33:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 02 2018 906 WTPZ21 KNHC 022033 TCMEP1 HURRICANE NORMAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 2100 UTC SUN SEP 02 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 130.9W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 130.9W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 130.0W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.7N 133.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.5N 136.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 140.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.5N 142.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.0N 147.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.0N 150.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 26.0N 152.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 130.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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