je.st
news
Tag: sergio
Summary for Tropical Storm Sergio (EP1/EP212018)
2018-10-11 19:35:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...SERGIO EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY... As of 11:00 AM PDT Thu Oct 11 the center of Sergio was located near 22.5, -117.6 with movement NE at 23 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
sergio
Tropical Storm Sergio Public Advisory Number 49A
2018-10-11 19:35:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 11 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 111735 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Sergio Intermediate Advisory Number 49A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...SERGIO EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.5N 117.6W ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro * East coast of the Baja California peninsula from Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area in this case within the next 12 to 18 hours. Interests elsewhere in the northern and central Baja California peninsula and northwestern Sonora should monitor the progress of Sergio. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM PDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 118.7 West. Sergio has increased its forward speed and is now moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h). This track with a continued increase in forward speed is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Sergio will be near the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur tonight or early Friday and then move over mainland Mexico by Friday evening. Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast this afternoon, but Sergio will soon be over cooler water and gradual weakening should then begin. Sergio is still forecast to reach the central Baja California peninsula as a tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Sergio is expected to produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches across the central peninsula of Baja California and Sonora through Friday. This could lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides within mountainous terrain. By this weekend, rainfall associated with Sergio will move into portions of the Southern Plains and the Ozarks, with storm total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches and possible isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches. This rainfall could lead to flash flooding, particularly in the Southern Plains. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the western coast of the Baja California peninsula by tonight and will spread to the east coast of the peninsula tonight or early Friday. These conditions could reach the coast of mainland Mexico late Friday. SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Sergio Graphics
2018-10-11 16:41:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 11 Oct 2018 14:41:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 11 Oct 2018 14:41:15 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
sergio
Tropical Storm Sergio Forecast Discussion Number 49
2018-10-11 16:39:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM PDT Thu Oct 11 2018 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 111439 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Sergio Discussion Number 49 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 800 AM PDT Thu Oct 11 2018 The cloud pattern of Sergio continues to show organization with a couple of cyclonically curved hooking bands, however the convection in these bands is weak to moderate. Dvorak estimates suggest that the initial intensity still is 55 kt. Sergio is about to move over cooler waters and the shear is forecast to increase significantly, so the expected weakening process should begin later today. Nevertheless, the cyclone should still be a tropical storm when it moves over the Baja California peninsula, but it should dissipate once it moves over the high terrain of the Mexican mainland over the state of Sonora. Satellite fixes indicate that Sergio is moving toward the northeast about 17 kt. The storm is embedded within the deep-layer southwesterly flow associated with a broad mid-latitude trough located just off the U.S. west coast. This flow pattern will continue to steer Sergio toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed. Track models are in excellent agreement and unanimously bring Sergio over the central portion of the Baja California peninsula in about 24 hours and so does the official forecast. The primary threat associated with Sergio and its remnants continues to be life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides within mountainous terrain in the Mexico states of Baja California Sur, Sonora, the U.S. Southern Plains, and the Ozarks through the weekend. For more information about this potential hazard, see products from the Weather Prediction Center and your local weather forecast office. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/1500Z 22.2N 118.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 12/0000Z 24.2N 116.2W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 12/1200Z 27.0N 113.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 13/0000Z 29.5N 109.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 48H 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Summary for Tropical Storm Sergio (EP1/EP212018)
2018-10-11 16:39:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...SERGIO HEADING FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN A HURRY... HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OF THE UNITED STATES OVER THE WEEKEND... As of 8:00 AM PDT Thu Oct 11 the center of Sergio was located near 22.2, -118.7 with movement NE at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 992 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
sergio
Sites : [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] next »