je.st
news
Tag: kenneth
Summary for Tropical Storm Kenneth (EP3/EP132017)
2017-08-19 10:39:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE PACIFIC WATERS... As of 2:00 AM PDT Sat Aug 19 the center of Kenneth was located near 15.6, -120.2 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
tropical
kenneth
Tropical Storm Kenneth Public Advisory Number 4
2017-08-19 10:39:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT Sat Aug 19 2017 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 190839 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kenneth Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132017 200 AM PDT Sat Aug 19 2017 ...TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE PACIFIC WATERS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 120.2W ABOUT 840 MI...1350 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kenneth was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 120.2 West. Kenneth is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this motion should continue during the weekend. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Harvey could become a hurricane on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Kenneth Forecast Advisory Number 4
2017-08-19 10:39:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 190839 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132017 0900 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 120.2W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 120.2W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 119.5W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.0N 122.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.6N 125.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.5N 127.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.5N 129.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.5N 131.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 23.5N 132.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 26.5N 133.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 120.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm Kenneth Graphics
2017-08-19 04:37:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 19 Aug 2017 02:37:37 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 19 Aug 2017 02:37:37 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
kenneth
Tropical Storm Kenneth Forecast Discussion Number 3
2017-08-19 04:31:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT Fri Aug 18 2017 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 190231 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Kenneth Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132017 800 PM PDT Fri Aug 18 2017 Conventional satellite imagery and an earlier SSMI/S overpass show that the depression has been strengthening during the past several hours. Impressive outer curved banding has developed in the eastern and northern portions of the cyclone, and the last few visible images are showing early signs of a small central dense overcast, or inner core formation. Based on the overall improvement of the cloud pattern and Dvorak satellite intensity estimates of 35 kt from SAB and TAFB, the depression is upgraded to Tropical Storm Kenneth. The northeasterly shear is diminishing, the oceanic temperatures are warm, and the low to mid levels of the atmosphere are moist, all bolstering further strengthening through the 48-hour period. Afterward, decreasing sea surface temperatures and an intruding stable air mass from the north should result in gradual weakening. No significant changes were made to the previous intensity forecast, and the NHC forecast is based primarily on the IVCN multi-model consensus. The initial motion is estimated to be westward, or 280/13 kt. Kenneth is embedded in the easterly mid-level flow of a subtropical ridge extending over the eastern Pacific from northern Mexico. The cyclone should commence a gradual turn toward the west-northwest around the 24-hour period as a mid- to upper-level low located just southwest of the southern California coast amplifies and erodes the ridge to the northwest of Kenneth. Kenneth's motion is expected to be further influenced by this growing weakness in the ridge by decreasing in forward speed, turning northwestward on day 3, and then north-northwestward around the 96-hour period. The guidance suite is surprisingly tightly clustered through the entire forecast period. The NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one, and is hedged toward the HCCA corrected consensus model. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/0300Z 15.0N 119.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 19/1200Z 15.4N 121.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 20/0000Z 16.0N 124.1W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 20/1200Z 16.8N 126.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 48H 21/0000Z 17.7N 128.9W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 22/0000Z 19.6N 131.8W 70 KT 80 MPH 96H 23/0000Z 22.3N 133.1W 60 KT 70 MPH 120H 24/0000Z 25.2N 133.9W 45 KT 50 MPH $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Sites : [13] [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [23] [24] [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] next »