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Tropical Storm KARL Forecast Advisory Number 39

2016-09-24 04:51:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 24 2016 000 WTNT22 KNHC 240251 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 0300 UTC SAT SEP 24 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 65.1W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 65.1W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 65.3W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 32.5N 63.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 35.5N 57.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 39.5N 49.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 80SW 40NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 45.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 120SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 270SE 240SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 65.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Tropical Storm KARL Graphics

2016-09-24 01:56:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 23 Sep 2016 23:56:39 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 23 Sep 2016 21:05:35 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Storm KARL (AT2/AL122016)

2016-09-24 01:54:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT KARL IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER... As of 8:00 PM AST Fri Sep 23 the center of KARL was located near 30.3, -65.2 with movement N at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

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Tropical Storm KARL Public Advisory Number 38A

2016-09-24 01:54:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM AST FRI SEP 23 2016 000 WTNT32 KNHC 232353 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016 800 PM AST FRI SEP 23 2016 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT KARL IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.3N 65.2W ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...105 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case during the next 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case during the next 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was located near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 65.2 West. Karl is moving toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h) but is expected to turn sharply toward the northeast during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Karl is forecast to move near or east of Bermuda tonight or Saturday morning. Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (105 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Karl is forecast to reach hurricane intensity on Saturday and then should become post-tropical on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter data is 990 mb (29.23 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are beginning to spread across Bermuda and will continue through early Saturday morning. Hurricane conditions are also possible on Bermuda tonight. RAINFALL: Karl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over Bermuda through Saturday. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible on Bermuda overnight. SURF: Swells generated by Karl are affecting Bermuda and are expected to increase during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Beven

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