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Tropical Storm NEWTON Public Advisory Number 3
2016-09-05 10:56:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM MDT MON SEP 05 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 050856 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NEWTON ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 300 AM MDT MON SEP 05 2016 ...NEWTON STRENGTHENS A LITTLE... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD IN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND MAINLAND MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.9N 106.1W ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 425 MI...680 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning in Baja California Sur from north of La Paz to San Evaristo. The Government of Mexico has extended the Tropical Storm Watch northward on the east coast of the Baja California peninsula to Santa Rosalia and on the west coast of the Baja California peninsula to Punta Abreojos. The Government of Mexico has also extended the Tropical Storm Watch northward on the west coast of mainland Mexico to Guaymas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * La Paz to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes * north of La Paz to San Evaristo A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * north of La Paz to San Evaristo * north of Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * north of San Evaristo to Santa Rosalia * north of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos * Mazatlan to Guaymas A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm- force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Newton was located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 106.1 West. Newton is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A northwestward or north-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected later today and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Newton will be near or over the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula Tuesday morning. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours or so, and Newton could be near hurricane intensity when it approaches the extreme southern Baja California peninsula Tuesday morning. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within the hurricane warning area by Tuesday morning. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength by late tonight, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area on Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area along the southwestern coast of Mexico today. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch areas by late Tuesday. RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches for coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa, as well as much of the state of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches through Tuesday night. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. SURF: Swells generated by Newton are expected to increase near the coast of southwestern Mexico and the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM MDT. Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm NEWTON Forecast Advisory Number 3
2016-09-05 10:54:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 05 2016 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 050854 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM NEWTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 0900 UTC MON SEP 05 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO SANTA ROSALIA AND ON THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO TO GUAYMAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA PAZ TO SANTA FE...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES * NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO * NORTH OF SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO SANTA ROSALIA * NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA ABREOJOS * MAZATLAN TO GUAYMAS A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.1W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 106.1W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 105.8W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.2N 107.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.3N 109.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 160SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.3N 110.3W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 20NW. 34 KT...130NE 170SE 70SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.9N 111.2W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.2N 111.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 106.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Tropical Storm NEWTON Graphics
2016-09-05 08:16:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 05 Sep 2016 06:16:06 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 05 Sep 2016 03:07:43 GMT
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Tropical Storm NEWTON Graphics
2016-09-05 07:55:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 05 Sep 2016 05:55:26 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 05 Sep 2016 03:07:43 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm NEWTON (EP5/EP152016)
2016-09-05 07:54:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...NEWTON HEADED TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 1:00 AM CDT Mon Sep 5 the center of NEWTON was located near 17.3, -106.0 with movement NNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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