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Summary for Tropical Storm Raymond (EP5/EP202019)

2019-11-15 15:43:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND STRENGTHENING OVER THE EAST PACIFIC... As of 8:00 AM MST Fri Nov 15 the center of Raymond was located near 14.1, -108.8 with movement NNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

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Tropical Storm Raymond Public Advisory Number 3

2019-11-15 15:43:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 800 AM MST Fri Nov 15 2019 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 151443 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Raymond Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202019 800 AM MST Fri Nov 15 2019 ...TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND STRENGTHENING OVER THE EAST PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 108.8W ABOUT 610 MI...985 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of Raymond. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Raymond was located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 108.8 West. Raymond is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected through today. A turn toward the north or north-northeast is forecast by late Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is anticipated during the next day or so. Weakening is forecast to occur by Sunday, and the system is predicted to degenerate into a remnant low by late Sunday or early Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across the southern portions of Baja California Sur. This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash floods. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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Tropical Storm Raymond Forecast Advisory Number 3

2019-11-15 15:42:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI NOV 15 2019 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 151442 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC FRI NOV 15 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RAYMOND. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 108.8W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 108.8W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 108.6W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.1N 109.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.4N 110.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.1N 110.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.2N 110.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 24.3N 110.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 108.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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