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Tropical Storm Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 58

2017-09-30 16:31:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 30 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 301431 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 58 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 1500 UTC SAT SEP 30 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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Summary for Tropical Storm Maria (AT5/AL152017)

2017-09-30 16:31:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...MARIA EXPECTED TO BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT... As of 11:00 AM AST Sat Sep 30 the center of Maria was located near 40.7, -47.2 with movement ENE at 32 mph. The minimum central pressure was 989 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Tropical Storm Maria Public Advisory Number 58

2017-09-30 16:31:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Sat Sep 30 2017 000 WTNT35 KNHC 301431 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Maria Advisory Number 58 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017 1100 AM AST Sat Sep 30 2017 ...MARIA EXPECTED TO BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.7N 47.2W ABOUT 510 MI...820 KM SE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 32 MPH...52 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Maria was located near latitude 40.7 North, longitude 47.2 West. Maria is racing toward the east-northeast near 32 mph (52 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next 2 days. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Maria is forecast to lose topical characteristics later today or tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Tropical Storm Maria Forecast Advisory Number 58

2017-09-30 16:31:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 30 2017 000 WTNT25 KNHC 301431 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 58 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 1500 UTC SAT SEP 30 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.7N 47.2W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 28 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 100SE 100SW 0NW. 34 KT.......110NE 200SE 200SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 420SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.7N 47.2W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 48.8W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 42.5N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 100SE 100SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 200SE 170SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 45.0N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 200SE 170SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 47.5N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 170SE 170SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 49.0N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.7N 47.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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