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Tropical Storm Barry Public Advisory Number 15
2019-07-14 04:40:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019 000 WTNT32 KNHC 140240 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Barry Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019 1000 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019 ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND WIND CONDITIONS CONTINUING ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...HEAVY RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.0N 93.0W ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM SW OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... The Tropical Storm Warning from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to east of Grand Isle has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Grand Isle to Cameron * Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New Orleans A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Intracoastal City to Biloxi * Lake Pontchartrain A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Barry was located near latitude 31.0 North, longitude 93.0 West. Barry is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected on Sunday, and this general motion should continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Barry will move across central Louisiana tonight, through northern Louisiana on Sunday, and over Arkansas Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts, and these winds are occurring near the coast to the southeast of the center. Additional weakening is expected as the center moves farther inland, and Barry is forecast to weaken to a depression on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) mainly over water to the southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for Barry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Intracoastal City to Shell Beach...3 to 6 ft Shell Beach to Biloxi MS...3 to 5 ft Lake Pontchartrain...3 to 5 ft Biloxi MS to the Mississippi/Alabama border...1 to 3 ft Lake Maurepas...1 to 3 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 15 inches over south-central Louisiana and southwest Mississippi, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. Across the remainder of the Lower Mississippi Valley, total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are expected, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall is expected to lead to dangerous, life- threatening flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring across portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area, and these conditions should persist into Sunday morning. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force in squalls are possible along portions of the coasts of Mississippi, Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle through tonight. TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible through Sunday across portions of Louisiana, southern and western Mississippi, and southern and eastern Arkansas. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Storm Barry Forecast Advisory Number 15
2019-07-14 04:39:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUL 14 2019 000 WTNT22 KNHC 140239 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022019 0300 UTC SUN JUL 14 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO EAST OF GRAND ISLE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GRAND ISLE TO CAMERON * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * INTRACOASTAL CITY TO BILOXI * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING. A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 93.0W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 210SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 93.0W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 92.7W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.0N 93.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.3N 93.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.7N 93.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 36.1N 93.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 93.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 14/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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Summary for Tropical Storm Barry (AT2/AL022019)
2019-07-14 01:46:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND WIND CONDITIONS CONTINUING ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...HEAVY RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... As of 7:00 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 the center of Barry was located near 30.7, -92.7 with movement NNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Tropical Storm Barry Graphics
2019-07-14 01:46:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 13 Jul 2019 23:46:32 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 13 Jul 2019 21:24:27 GMT
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Tropical Storm Barry Public Advisory Number 14A
2019-07-14 01:46:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019 000 WTNT32 KNHC 132346 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Barry Intermediate Advisory Number 14A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019 700 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2019 ...BARRY CONTINUES MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND WIND CONDITIONS CONTINUING ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST... ...HEAVY RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.7N 92.7W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSW OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NW OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... The Tropical Storm Warning west of Cameron Louisiana has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Mouth of the Mississippi River to Cameron * Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New Orleans A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Intracoastal City to Biloxi * Lake Pontchartrain A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Barry was located near latitude 30.7 North, longitude 92.7 West. Barry is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue tonight. A turn toward the north is expected on Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Barry will move across central Louisiana tonight, through northern Louisiana on Sunday, and over Arkansas Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts, and these winds are occurring near the coast to the southeast of the center. Additional weakening is expected as the center moves farther inland, and Barry is forecast to weaken to a depression on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. A National Ocean Service station at Eugene Island, Louisiana, has recently reported sustained winds of 47 mph and a wind gust of 55 mph. In addition, the Acadiana Regional Airport in New Iberia, Louisiana, recently reported a wind gust of 61 mph. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for Barry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Intracoastal City to Shell Beach...3 to 6 ft Shell Beach to Biloxi MS...3 to 5 ft Lake Pontchartrain...3 to 5 ft Biloxi MS to the Mississippi/Alabama border...1 to 3 ft Lake Maurepas...1 to 3 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 20 inches over south-central Louisiana and southwest Mississippi, with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches. Across the remainder of the Lower Mississippi Valley, total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are expected, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall is expected to lead to dangerous, life-threatening flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring across portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area, and these conditions should persist through Sunday morning. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force in squalls are possible along portions of the coasts of Mississippi, Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle through tonight. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes will be possible through tonight across southwest Alabama, southern Mississippi, and southeast Louisiana. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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