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Tropical Depression Gordon Graphics
2018-09-05 13:42:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 05 Sep 2018 11:42:54 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 05 Sep 2018 09:28:47 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Depression Gordon (AT2/AL072018)
2018-09-05 13:42:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...GORDON WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... ...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING CONTINUES... As of 7:00 AM CDT Wed Sep 5 the center of Gordon was located near 32.0, -89.9 with movement NW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
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Tropical Depression Gordon Public Advisory Number 12A
2018-09-05 13:42:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018 289 WTNT32 KNHC 051142 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Gordon Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018 700 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018 ...GORDON WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... ...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.0N 89.9W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SSE OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Gordon was located near latitude 32.0 North, longitude 89.9 West. Gordon is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will move across the lower Mississippi Valley today. A turn toward the north-northwest and north is forecast to occur on Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts in a few squalls near the center. Additional weakening is expected as Gordon moves farther inland. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: Water levels along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast will gradually subside this morning. RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama, southern and central Mississippi, northeastern Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, southern Iowa and Illinois, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through early Saturday. This rainfall will cause flash flooding across portions of these areas. WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force could occur near the center of Gordon during the next few hours. TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible today and tonight over Mississippi and western Alabama. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Gordon Forecast Discussion Number 12
2018-09-05 10:54:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018 243 WTNT42 KNHC 050854 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Gordon Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018 400 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018 Gordon is moving farther inland and continues to weaken. Surface synoptic observations suggest that the cyclone is now of, at most, minimal tropical storm strength. These tropical-storm-force winds may be occurring over a small inland area near the center. Continued weakening is expected, and Gordon should become a tropical depression later this morning. Gordon continues moving northwestward, with an initial motion estimate of 325/12. The cyclone should continue on a northwestward heading with a decrease in forward speed, along the southwestern periphery of a mid-level ridge, for the next couple of days. Later in the period, Gordon's remnant is forecast to turn northward and northeastward with increasing forward speed as it approaches the mid-latitude westerlies north of 40N. the official forecast track is close to the latest dynamical model consensus, TVCA. All coastal watches and warnings associated with Gordon are being discontinued at this time. Key Messages: 1. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will affect the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama, southern and central Mississippi, northeastern Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, southern Iowa and Illinois, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through early Saturday. This rainfall will cause flash flooding across portions of these areas. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0900Z 31.5N 89.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 05/1800Z 32.4N 90.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 06/0600Z 33.4N 91.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 36H 06/1800Z 34.1N 92.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 48H 07/0600Z 34.8N 93.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 08/0600Z 36.7N 93.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 09/0600Z 39.0N 91.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 10/0600Z 42.0N 86.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Storm Gordon Public Advisory Number 12
2018-09-05 10:54:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018 313 WTNT32 KNHC 050854 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Gordon Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018 400 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018 ...GORDON MOVING FARTHER INLAND AND WEAKENING... ...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.5N 89.5W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NW OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning from the mouth of the Pearl River to Okaloosa-Walton County Line is discontinued. The Storm Surge Warning from Pascagoula Mississippi to Dauphin Island is discontinued. The Storm Surge Watch from east of Dauphin Island to Navarre is discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was located near latitude 31.5 North, longitude 89.5 West. Gordon is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will move across the lower Mississippi Valley through Wednesday. A turn toward the north-northwest and north is forecast to occur on Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts in a few squalls near the center. Gordon is likely to weaken to a tropical depression later this morning. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: Water levels along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast will gradually subside this morning. RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama, southern and central Mississippi, northeastern Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, southern Iowa and Illinois, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through early Saturday. This rainfall will cause flash flooding across portions of these areas. WIND: Winds to tropical storm force in a few squalls could occur near the center of Gordon during the next couple of hours. TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible today and tonight over Mississippi and western Alabama. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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