je.st
news
Tag: irwin
Post-Tropical Cyclone Irwin Graphics
2017-08-01 22:42:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Aug 2017 20:42:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Aug 2017 21:30:18 GMT
Tags: graphics
irwin
cyclone
posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone Irwin Forecast Discussion Number 42
2017-08-01 22:38:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Aug 01 2017 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 012038 TCDEP5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Irwin Discussion Number 42 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102017 200 PM PDT Tue Aug 01 2017 Irwin consists of a tight swirl of low clouds devoid of deep convection. On this basis, the system has been declared a remnant low in this advisory. Data from a recent ASCAT indicate that wind are still 30 kt to the north and east of the center. The low is forecast to move toward the northwest about 7 kt toward cooler waters until dissipation is a day or so. This will be the last advisory issued by NHC on this system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/2100Z 26.6N 129.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 02/0600Z 27.5N 130.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 02/1800Z 28.5N 131.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 03/0600Z 29.0N 132.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
irwin
Post-Tropical Cyclone Irwin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 42
2017-08-01 22:38:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 01 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 012038 PWSEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102017 2100 UTC TUE AUG 01 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IRWIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Irwin (EP5/EP102017)
2017-08-01 22:37:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...IRWIN NOW A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Tue Aug 1 the center of Irwin was located near 26.6, -129.7 with movement NNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
irwin
cyclone
posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone Irwin Public Advisory Number 42
2017-08-01 22:37:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Aug 01 2017 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 012037 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Irwin Advisory Number 42 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102017 200 PM PDT Tue Aug 01 2017 ...IRWIN NOW A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.6N 129.7W ABOUT 1265 MI...2040 KM WNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Irwin was located near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 129.7 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue today. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Dissipation is expected during the next day or so. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: number
public
advisory
irwin