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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-08-31 19:50:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 311750 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Aug 31 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Northwestern Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and just offshore the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is expected to linger near the coast through much of next week, and some slow development is possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea: A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The disturbance is forecast to move westward and reach the Lesser Antilles on Monday, then continue across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea through the middle part of next week. Later next week, environmental conditions appear to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form as the system moves across the western Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Another tropical wave located just to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development is no longer expected due to unfavorable environmental conditions as the tropical wave moves westward to west-northwestward over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Mahoney/Reinhart
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