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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-04 01:37:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 032337 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Sep 3 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola and portions of the central Caribbean Sea. Some development is possible late this week when the wave slows down over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or early next week over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean: Another tropical wave located about a thousand miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur over the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for additional development by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean: A third tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is also producing disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development by the end of the week. This system could produce locally heavy rains across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands overnight and on Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg


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