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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-22 19:57:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 221756 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has issued a special, final advisory on the remnants of Oscar, located near the central and southeastern Bahamas. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Papin/Torres-Vazquez
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Remnants of Oscar Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2024-10-22 19:56:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1800 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 000 FONT11 KNHC 221756 PWSAT1 REMNANTS OF OSCAR SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 1800 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024 AT 1800Z THE REMNANTS OF OSCAR WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 74.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAYAGUANA 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Remnants of Oscar Public Advisory Number 15
2024-10-22 19:56:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 000 WTNT31 KNHC 221755 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Remnants Of Oscar Special Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 22 2024 ...OSCAR IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.0N 74.0W ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM ESE OF LONG ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the Southeastern Bahamas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the remnants of Oscar were located near latitude 23.0 North, longitude 74.0 West. The remnants are moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Pasch
Category: Transportation and Logistics