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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-06-19 13:17:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
935 ABNT20 KNHC 191117TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.$$Forecaster Berg [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Erick Graphics
2025-06-19 11:22:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 19 Jun 2025 08:54:14 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 19 Jun 2025 09:22:37 GMT [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Erick Forecast Discussion Number 12
2025-06-19 10:52:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 AM CST Thu Jun 19 2025 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 190852 TCDEP5 Hurricane Erick Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052025 300 AM CST Thu Jun 19 2025 Erick is about to make landfall along the southern coast of Mexico. Its rapid strengthening episode has ended, likely due to the interaction with land. The eye has become obscured on satellite imagery, and the intensity is adjusted to 120 kt in agreement with the latest objective estimates from UW/CIMSS. Erick remains an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane. However, rapid weakening will occur after the center moves inland and the system moves over the mountainous terrain of Mexico. Smoothing out the trochoidal wobbles in the track, the motion estimate, 310/8 kt, remains about the same as before. This general motion, on the south side of a weak mid-level ridge, is likely to continue until the system dissipates within the next day or two. The official track forecast is just slightly west of the previous one and close to the latest corrected consensus, HCCA, guidance. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Erick is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane, and devastating wind damage is likely near its core. Take shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure and remain sheltered until after hazardous conditions pass. 2. Erick will produce heavy rainfall across portions of Southwest Mexico through this week. Life-threatening flooding and mudslides are likely, especially in areas of steep terrain. 3. A dangerous, life-threatening storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center crosses the coast, in areas of onshore winds. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/0900Z 15.9N 97.9W 120 KT 140 MPH 12H 19/1800Z 16.7N 98.9W 80 KT 90 MPH...INLAND 24H 20/0600Z 17.5N 99.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 36H 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics