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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-06-23 07:31:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

476 ABNT20 KNHC 230531TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 AM EDT Mon Jun 23 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization overnight with an area of the low pressure located about 500 miles east of Bermuda. Recent satellite-derived wind data also indicates the system has a well-defined surface circulation with maximum sustained winds of 30-35 mph. While environmental conditions are only marginally favorable, only a small increase in organization and persistence of the current shower and thunderstorm activity is likely to result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression or storm, as soon as later today. By Tuesday, this system is expected to encounter less favorable environmental conditions, ending its opportunity for further development. Regardless of development, the system is forecast to move northeastward at 5 to 10 mph, remaining over the open central Atlantic.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.$$Forecaster Papin [ more ]


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