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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-07-15 07:32:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
489 ABNT20 KNHC 150531TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:East of the Florida Peninsula into the Northeastern Gulf (AL93):Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the area of low pressure located just offshore of the east coast of Florida is gradually becoming better defined. However, the shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. This system is forecast to move westward across the Florida Peninsula today and tonight, then reach the northeastern Gulf by the middle part of this week. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to latter part of this week as the system moves across the northeastern and north-central Gulf.Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding over portions of Florida through mid-week. Heavy rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the north-central Gulf Coast during the middle to latter portions of this week.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.$$Forecaster Hagen
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