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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-08-11 20:05:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000ABNT20 KNHC 111753TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 PM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newlyformed Tropical Storm Erin, located a few hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands in the eastern tropical Atlantic.Northwestern Atlantic:A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently located a few hundred miles to the south-southeast of Nova Scotia, Canada. While current shower and thunderstorm activity with the system remains limited, this system is drifting over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, and some tropical or subtropical development could occur over the next day or two. By the middle of this week, the system is expected to move northward over cooler waters, ending its chances for further tropical development. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecast issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.Central Atlantic (AL96):A weak surface trough of low pressure located over the central Atlantic is interacting with an upper-level trough, producing scattered disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Significant development of this system appears unlikely over the next few days as the system drifts generally northward, remaining over the central Atlantic.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.Northeastern Gulf:A weak surface trough in the northeastern Gulf near the Florida Panhandle is associated with a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While development of this system is not anticipated before it moves inland, locally heavy rainfall could produce flash-flooding along portions of the Florida Panhandle over the next day or so. For more information of the rainfall hazards related to this system, please see the products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.&&Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Erin are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Erin are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Servicecan be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php$$Forecaster Papin
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