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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-08-12 13:41:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000ABNT20 KNHC 121141TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 AM EDT Tue Aug 12 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Erin, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic severalhundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands.Northwestern Atlantic:A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast of Nova Scotia, Canada, is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity to the west of its center. Some limited tropical or subtropical development is possible over the next day or so as the low meanders near the relatively warm waters of the Gulf Stream. The system is expected to move northward over cooler waters by Wednesday, ending its chances for tropical development.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.North-Central Gulf:A surface trough near the coast of Louisiana is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While development of this system is not anticipated before it moves inland later today, locally heavy rainfall could produce flash flooding across portions of the northern Gulf coast over the next day or so. For more information on the rainfall hazards related to this system, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.&&Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Erin are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Erin are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.$$Forecaster Berg
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