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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-08-13 01:36:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000ABNT20 KNHC 122336TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 PM EDT Tue Aug 12 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Erin, located over the central tropical Atlantic.Southwestern Gulf:A tropical wave over the northwestern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending across eastern Honduras, northeastern Nicaragua and adjacent marine areas. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward and cross the Yucatan Peninsula on Wednesday with no significant increase in organization. Some development of this system is possible after it emerges across the southwestern Gulf beginning on Thursday while the system moves to the west-northwest or northwest at 10 to 15 mph.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.Northwestern Atlantic:A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast of Nova Scotia, Canada, is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity to the west of its center. Some limited tropical or subtropical development is possible through early Wednesday as the low meanders near the relatively warm waters of the Gulf Stream. The system is expected to move northward over cooler waters later on Wednesday, ending its chances for tropical development.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.$$Forecaster Blake
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