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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-08-14 19:38:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

416 ABNT20 KNHC 141738TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 PM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Erin, located east of the Leeward Islands.Southwestern Gulf (AL98):Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with an area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche. The low is forecast to move west-northwestward across the southwestern Gulf during the next day or so, where environmental conditions are marginally conducive for further development. A tropical depression could form before this system moves inland over northeastern Mexico or southern Texas by late Friday ending its chances for tropical development. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible along portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas over the next few days. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter is en route to investigate this system.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.$$Forecaster Bucci


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