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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-08-15 17:07:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000ABNT20 KNHC 151507TWOAT Special Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1110 AM EDT Fri Aug 15 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Updated discussion for the western Gulf disturbance (AL98)Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Erin, located several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands.Western Gulf (AL98):Updated: An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft has been investigating the disturbance located along the coast of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas. Aircraft wind data and coastal Doppler radar data indicate that a closed circulation is not present and the trough axis associated with the disturbance is closer to the coast than previously estimated. Therefore, the possibility of formation is diminishing with only a few hours left over water. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible along portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas over the next day or so.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.$$Forecaster Bucci
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