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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-08-23 01:40:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000ABNT20 KNHC 222340TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 PM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.Southwestern Atlantic (AL90):Showers and thunderstorms have not become any better organized this evening in association with a trough of low pressure located a couple hundred miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical storm is very likely to form this weekend while it moves northwestward and then northward over the southwestern Atlantic. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system as watches or warnings could be required on Saturday. For additional information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.Central Tropical Atlantic (AL99):Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located about midway between Africa and the Windward Islands remain disorganized. While there is still some chance that a short-lived tropical depression could form during the next day or so, the system is expected to move through a less conducive environment on Saturday. The wave could reach a slightly more favorable environment late this weekend into early next week as it approaches the Windward Islands.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.&&High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Servicecan be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php$$Forecaster Kelly


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