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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-08-23 13:56:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000ABNT20 KNHC 231156TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 AM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Southwestern Atlantic (AL90):Satellite images indicate that an area of low pressure has formed about 500 miles south-southeast of Bermuda, and the associated showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization. A tropical depression is expected to form later today or tonight, with further intensification to a tropical storm likely on Sunday while the low moves northward over the southwestern Atlantic. An Air Force Reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system as watches could be still required later today. For additional information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.East of the Windward Islands (AL99):Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical wave located about 850 miles east of the Windward Islands. Some development of this system could occur during the next few days while the system moves quickly westward at about 20 mph. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible across portions of the Windward Islands as the system moves through on Sunday and Monday. By the middle of next week, conditions over the central Caribbean are expected to be unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.&&High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Servicecan be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php$$Forecaster Blake


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