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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-09-23 01:22:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
940 ABNT20 KNHC 222322TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 PM EDT Mon Sep 22 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gabrielle, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.Central Tropical Atlantic:Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located about midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cabo Verde Islands show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable for development by tomorrow, and a tropical depression is likely to form on Wednesday or Thursday while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward across the central Atlantic.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.East of the Leeward Islands:A tropical wave located about 250 miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some development over the next few days as the wave moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. By the latter part of this week, the system is expected to slow down and turn northwestward, and a tropical depression could form late this week when the system is over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean or near the Bahamas. Regardless of development, gusty winds and heavy rainfall are expected to affect portions of the Leeward Islands late tonight and Tuesday and near Puerto Rico late Tuesday and Wednesday.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.$$Forecaster Pasch
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