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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2023-10-02 19:39:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 021739 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Oct 2 2023 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: South of Southwestern Mexico (EP98): A broad area of low pressure is located several hundred miles south of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Although shower and thunderstorms associated with this system continue to show signs of organization, recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that it is poorly organized at the surface. Environmental conditions are expected to remain favorable for development, and a tropical depression is still expected to form during the next day or so. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward today, and then meander northwestward to north-northwestward through the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent. South of Central America: An area of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles south of the coast of Central America during the second half of this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for at least gradual development of the disturbance after it forms, and a tropical depression could develop late this week or over the weekend while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky


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