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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-08-28 07:32:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

660 ABPZ20 KNHC 280532TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 27 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Juliette, located in the eastern Pacific basin several hundred miles west-northwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.Well South of the Hawaiian Islands:A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the Hawaiian Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for some slow development of this system over the next couple of days while it moves westward at around 15 mph across the central Pacific basin. By Saturday, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula:A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the central to western part of the eastern Pacific basin.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.South of Southern Mexico:Another area of low pressure could form this weekend offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system late this weekend and into early next week, and a tropical depression could form by midweek as the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.$$Forecaster Gibbs


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