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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-09-01 19:36:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
049 ABPZ20 KNHC 011736TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 1 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located in the east Pacific basin well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Kiko is expected to cross into the central Pacific basin by the weekend.South of Southwestern Mexico (EP94):Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located less than 150 miles off the coast of southwestern Mexico are starting to become better organized, and recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that winds to 35 mph are present in the disturbance close to the coast of Mexico. This system is expected to become a tropical depression by the middle of the week. This system is expected to move west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph off the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next couple of days, then could turn northward and approach the Baja California peninsula later this week. Interests in the Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of the disturbance, as watches or warnings could be required for portions of this area on Tuesday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across coastal portions of southwestern and west-central Mexico today through mid-week. Heavy rainfall is also expected across Baja California Sur and northwestern Mexico Tuesday night through late this week. This heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding, especially in mountainous areas.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.$$Forecaster Hagen
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