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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-09-02 01:11:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000ABPZ20 KNHC 012311TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL500 PM PDT Mon Sep 1 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko, located in the east Pacific basin well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Kiko is expected to cross into the central Pacific basin by the weekend.South of Southwestern Mexico (EP94):Showers and thunderstorms are becoming better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located a little more than 100 miles off the coast of southwestern Mexico. In addition, earlier satellite-derived wind data indicate that winds to 35 mph are occurring on its north side, close to the coast of Mexico. This system is expected to become a tropical depression or tropical storm in the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph off the coast of southwestern Mexico. The disturbance is expected to turn northwestward toward the Baja California peninsula later in the week, and watches or warnings could be required for portions of that area on Tuesday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across coastal portions of southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few days, and these rains will likely spread to Baja California Sur later in the week. The heavy rains could lead to flash flooding, especially in mountainous areas.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.$$Forecaster Cangialosi


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