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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-09-19 01:32:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

154 ABPZ20 KNHC 182332TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL500 PM PDT Thu Sep 18 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:South of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula (EP96):Showers and thunderstorms remain displaced well to the west of a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Although a tropical depression is still likely to form during the next day or so, the system is forecast to encounter progressively cooler waters and a drier, stable airmass over the weekend, which will inhibit any further development.*Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.*Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system during the next several days while it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.*Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.$$Forecaster Reinhart


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