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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-09-20 01:18:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

285 ABPZ20 KNHC 192318TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL500 PM PDT Fri Sep 19 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:South of the Baja California Peninsula (EP96):An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity displaced well to the southwest of the surface center. The system is expected to encounter more hostile environmental conditions and cooler waters this weekend while moving slowly west-northwestward, and further development appears unlikely. *Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.*Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.Off the Coast of Southern Mexico (EP97):A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the early to middle part of next week while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico.*Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.*Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.$$Forecaster Reinhart


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