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Hurricane Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 9
2024-06-30 22:33:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUN 30 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 302032 TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 2100 UTC SUN JUN 30 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 56.5W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 56.5W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 55.7W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 11.7N 59.1W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.8N 62.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.2N 66.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.4N 70.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.4N 74.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.3N 77.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 18.8N 84.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 20.3N 89.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 56.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 01/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Beryl Public Advisory Number 8A
2024-06-30 20:15:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM AST Sun Jun 30 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 301734 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 200 PM AST Sun Jun 30 2024 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 BERYL APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... ...LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED THERE BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.9N 55.6W ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF BARBADOS ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM ESE OF ST. VINCENT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Barbados * St. Lucia * St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands * Grenada * Tobago A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Martinique A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Dominica * Trinidad A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles, Hispaniola, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands and the remainder of the northwestern Caribbean should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Additional watches or warnings may be required later today or tonight. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 10.9 North, longitude 55.6 West. Beryl is moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h). A continued quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to move across the Windward Islands Monday morning and across the southeastern and central Caribbean Sea late Monday through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Beryl is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Beryl is expected to remain a category 4 hurricane as it moves through Windward Islands. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The minimum central pressure based on data from the NOAA and Air Force Hurricane Hunters is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area beginning early Monday morning. Potentially catastrophic wind damage is expected where the eyewall of Beryl moves through portions of the Windward Islands, with the highest risk of the core in St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and Grenada. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area starting late tonight, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area starting late tonight. STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 9 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore flow near where the eye makes landfall in the hurricane warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands through Monday. Localized maxima of 10 inches is possible, especially in the Grenadines. This rainfall may cause flash flooding in vulnerable areas. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Large swells generated by Beryl are expected across Windward and southern Leeward Islands during the next couple of days. Swells are also expected to reach the southern coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola in the next day or so. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Beryl Graphics
2024-06-30 19:43:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 30 Jun 2024 17:43:31 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 30 Jun 2024 15:23:00 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics