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Hurricane Beryl Public Advisory Number 10A

2024-07-01 07:55:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 AM AST Mon Jul 01 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 010555 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 200 AM AST Mon Jul 01 2024 ...BERYL APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... ...LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN A FEW HOURS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.5N 59.1W ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSE OF BARBADOS ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM ESE OF GRENADA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Barbados * St. Lucia * St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands * Grenada * Tobago A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Martinique * Trinidad A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Dominica * South coast of Dominican Republic from Punta Palenque westward to the border with Haiti * South coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d'Hainault A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles, Hispaniola, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and the remainder of the northwestern Caribbean should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Additional watches or warnings may be required today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 11.5 North, longitude 59.1 West. Beryl is moving toward the west near 20 mph (31 km/h). A continued quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to move across the Windward Islands this morning and across the southeastern and central Caribbean Sea late today through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Beryl is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength are likely during the next day or so, but Beryl is expected to remain a dangerous major hurricane as its core moves through the Windward Islands into the eastern Caribbean. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). Grantley Adams International Airport on Barbados recently reported a wind gust to 45 mph (72 km/h). The minimum central pressure based on Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area beginning early this morning. Potentially catastrophic wind damage is expected where the core of Beryl moves through portions of the Windward Islands, with the highest risk of the core in St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and Grenada. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area starting soon, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area starting this morning for Dominica, and by Tuesday afternoon for parts of the southern coast of Hispaniola. STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 9 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds near where the eye makes landfall in the hurricane warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands through today. Localized maxima of 10 inches is possible, especially in the Grenadines. This rainfall may cause flash flooding in vulnerable areas. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Large swells generated by Beryl are expected across Windward and southern Leeward Islands during the next couple of days. Swells are also expected to reach the southern coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola in the next day or so. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Tropical Storm Chris Graphics

2024-07-01 07:55:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 01 Jul 2024 05:55:14 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 01 Jul 2024 03:29:05 GMT


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Tropical Storm Chris Public Advisory Number 2A

2024-07-01 07:54:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 100 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 000 WTNT33 KNHC 010554 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Chris Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024 100 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM CHRIS MOVES INLAND... ...BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 96.7W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cabo Rojo to Puerto Veracruz A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next few hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chris was located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 96.7 West. Chris is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Chris will continue farther inland over eastern Mexico through today. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected as Chris moves farther inland, and the system will likely dissipate over the higher terrain later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Chris can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Chris is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico through today. Maximum rainfall totals around 12 inches are possible across the higher terrain of the Mexican states of Guanajuato, Queretaro, and San Luis Potosi. This rainfall will result in areas of flooding, with mudslides possible in areas of higher terrain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Chris, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area during the next few hours. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Bucci


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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