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Hurricane Erick Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

2025-06-18 16:42:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 18 2025 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 181442 PWSEP5 HURRICANE ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025 1500 UTC WED JUN 18 2025 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT L CARDENAS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 100W 34 X 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ACAPULCO 34 X 10(10) 47(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) ACAPULCO 50 X 1( 1) 18(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) P MALDONADO 34 X 74(74) 16(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) P MALDONADO 50 X 35(35) 31(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) P MALDONADO 64 X 13(13) 26(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) P ANGEL 34 20 41(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) P ANGEL 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) P ANGEL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HUATULCO 34 4 12(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 15N 95W 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER HAGEN [ more ]


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Hurricane Erick Forecast Advisory Number 8

2025-06-18 16:41:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 18 2025 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 181441 TCMEP5 HURRICANE ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025 1500 UTC WED JUN 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 96.0W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 4 M SEAS.... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 96.0W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 95.7W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.5N 96.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.9N 98.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.4N 99.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 96.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 18/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN [ more ]


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Hurricane Erick Graphics

2025-06-18 14:57:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 18 Jun 2025 11:52:23 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 18 Jun 2025 09:22:28 GMT [ more ]


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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