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Hurricane Isaac Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2024-09-28 04:38:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024 000 FONT15 KNHC 280238 PWSAT5 HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024 0300 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Isaac Forecast Advisory Number 9
2024-09-28 04:38:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024 683 WTNT25 KNHC 280237 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102024 0300 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 43.4W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 25SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 45SE 40SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 130SE 110SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 180SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 43.4W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 44.3W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 39.5N 40.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 25SE 20SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 130SE 110SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 41.0N 38.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 20SE 20SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 42.5N 37.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 15SE 15SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 120SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 43.8N 35.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 130SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 45.0N 33.7W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 46.9N 32.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 50.9N 31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...180NE 80SE 90SW 120NW. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 53.8N 29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 150SW 160NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N 43.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Hurricane Isaac (AT5/AL102024)
2024-09-28 04:38:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ISAAC CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... As of 3:00 AM GMT Sat Sep 28 the center of Isaac was located near 38.2, -43.4 with movement ENE at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 973 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics