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Hurricane Leslie Public Advisory Number 33
2024-10-10 16:33:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 10 2024 000 WTNT33 KNHC 101432 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 33 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132024 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 10 2024 ...LESLIE STARTING TO WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.2N 50.4W ABOUT 1715 MI...2765 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 23.2 North, longitude 50.4 West. Leslie is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected today, followed by a turn to the northeast on Friday, with an east-northeastward turn expected over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady to rapid weakening is forecast over the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Hagen
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 33
2024-10-10 16:32:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 101432 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 1500 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 50.4W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 25SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 50.4W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 50.2W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.0N 50.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.7N 50.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 28.1N 48.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.8N 45.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 90SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 33.3N 41.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 35.2N 35.6W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 80SE 70SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 36.6N 25.9W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 70SE 60SW 30NW. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 50.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Milton Public Advisory Number 21A
2024-10-10 13:52:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 000 WTNT34 KNHC 101152 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Milton Intermediate Advisory Number 21A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 800 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 ...CENTER OF MILTON PULLING AWAY FROM THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA... ...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL STILL OCCURRING NEAR THE SPACE COAST... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.9N 79.5W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM ENE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM NW OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Warnings south of Sebastian Inlet and north of the Flagler/Volusia County Line have been changed to Tropical Storm Warnings. The Storm Surge Warning along the Florida west coast has been discontinued. The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued south of the Palm Beach/Martin County Line. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Sebastian Inlet Florida to Altamaha Sound Georgia, including the St. Johns River A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Florida east coast from Sebastian Inlet northward to the Flagler/Volusia County Line A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Florida east coast south of Sebastian Inlet to the Palm Beach/Martin County Line * Lake Okeechobee * North of the Flagler/Volusia County Line to Edisto Beach South Carolina * Extreme northwestern Bahamas, including Grand Bahama Island, the Abacos, and Bimini A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Milton was located near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 79.5 West. Milton is moving toward the east-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn toward the east tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Milton will continue to move away from Florida and pass to the north of the Bahamas today. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected, but Milton is forecast to become a powerful extratropical low tonight. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). A sustained wind of 58 mph (93 km/h) and a gust to 76 mph (122 km/h) was recently reported at a Weatherstem station in Marineland. A sustained wind of 46 mph (74 km/h) and a gust to 67 mph (108 km/h) was recently reported at the Cocoa-Patrick Air Force Base. The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for Milton can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Sebastian Inlet, FL to Altamaha Sound, GA...3-5 ft St. Johns River...2-4 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are expected across portions of the east-central to northeast Florida coast through this morning. This rainfall will continue to bring the risk of considerable flash and urban flooding, along with moderate to major river flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Hurricane Milton, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero. WIND: Hurricane conditions, especially in gusts, are occurring within the hurricane warning area in Florida. Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the tropical storm warning areas in Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and the Bahamas. SURF: Swells generated by Milton are expected to continue to affect portions of the southeast U.S. and the Bahamas during the next couple of days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg/Hagen
Category: Transportation and Logistics