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Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory Number 11

2024-10-07 22:57:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 07 2024 000 WTNT24 KNHC 072056 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 2100 UTC MON OCT 07 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 90.8W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 905 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 155 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 25SE 25SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 210SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 90.8W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 91.3W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.9N 89.4W MAX WIND 160 KT...GUSTS 195 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 25SE 25SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 35SE 35SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.7N 87.4W MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 45SE 45SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.2N 85.6W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.1N 84.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 65SE 65SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.9N 82.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...210NE 160SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.2N 79.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 30SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...250NE 170SE 150SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 30.5N 71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...250NE 150SE 200SW 160NW. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 31.0N 65.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 80SE 120SW 100NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 90.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 08/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE


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2024-10-07 22:34:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

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Hurricane Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22

2024-10-07 22:34:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 07 2024 000 FONT13 KNHC 072033 PWSAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 2100 UTC MON OCT 07 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER KELLY


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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