je.st
news
Hurricane Milton Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18
2024-10-09 16:56:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 09 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 091456 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MILTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 1500 UTC WED OCT 09 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLESTON SC 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 2 7( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) WAYCROSS GA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 3 13(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) JACKSONVILLE 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GAINESVILLE FL 34 4 18(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) DAYTONA BEACH 34 5 58(63) 6(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) THE VILLAGES 34 27 52(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) THE VILLAGES 50 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ORLANDO FL 34 30 65(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) ORLANDO FL 50 1 38(39) 4(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) ORLANDO FL 64 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) COCOA BEACH FL 34 24 70(94) 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) COCOA BEACH FL 50 2 50(52) 20(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X 20(20) 17(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) PATRICK AFB 34 24 70(94) 4(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) PATRICK AFB 50 2 51(53) 20(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) PATRICK AFB 64 X 21(21) 15(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) FT PIERCE FL 34 22 65(87) 6(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) FT PIERCE FL 50 2 29(31) 15(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) FT PIERCE FL 64 X 9( 9) 7(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) W PALM BEACH 34 15 48(63) 7(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) W PALM BEACH 50 1 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) W PALM BEACH 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) FT LAUDERDALE 34 11 33(44) 5(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) FT LAUDERDALE 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MIAMI FL 34 4 7(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MARATHON FL 34 7 5(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) KEY WEST FL 34 9 4(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) NAPLES FL 34 86 4(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) NAPLES FL 50 10 6(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) NAPLES FL 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FT MYERS FL 34 93 3(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) FT MYERS FL 50 15 16(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) FT MYERS FL 64 3 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VENICE FL 50 84 12(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) VENICE FL 64 54 32(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) TAMPA FL 34 97 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TAMPA FL 50 22 45(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) TAMPA FL 64 6 30(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) CEDAR KEY FL 34 49 20(69) 2(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) CEDAR KEY FL 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) APALACHICOLA 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 290N 850W 34 8 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PANAMA CITY FL 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ALBANY GA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) GRAND BAHAMA 34 3 19(22) 24(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ANDROS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HAVANA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory Number 18
2024-10-09 16:55:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 09 2024 000 WTNT24 KNHC 091455 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 1500 UTC WED OCT 09 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 84.3W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 931 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT.......140NE 120SE 130SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 360SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 84.3W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 84.8W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 27.0N 83.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 130SE 130SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.0N 81.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 140SE 130SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 28.7N 78.3W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 40SE 50SW 90NW. 34 KT...240NE 140SE 140SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.1N 75.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 30SE 30SW 90NW. 34 KT...280NE 120SE 140SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.3N 72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 80SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.9N 68.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 110SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.4N 62.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 80SW 50NW. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 32.8N 55.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 84.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 09/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Leslie Graphics
2024-10-09 16:54:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 09 Oct 2024 14:54:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 09 Oct 2024 14:54:36 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics