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Hurricane Milton Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21
2024-10-10 10:41:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 100841 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MILTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MILTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BALD HEAD ISL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 32 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) THE VILLAGES 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ORLANDO FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 64 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PATRICK AFB 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PATRICK AFB 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT LAUDERDALE 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MIAMI FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MARATHON FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NAPLES FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FT MYERS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 29 3(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory Number 21
2024-10-10 10:40:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 000 WTNT24 KNHC 100840 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 80.5W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT.......180NE 170SE 110SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 480SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 80.5W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 81.3W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.3N 78.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 170SE 120SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 29.6N 74.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 150SE 150SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.6N 70.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.7N 67.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...155NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 29.9N 63.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.6N 60.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 80.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 10/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Hurricane Milton (AT4/AL142024)
2024-10-10 09:56:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...MILTON MOVING OFF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST... ...STILL PRODUCING DAMAGING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL IN EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA... As of 5:00 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 the center of Milton was located near 28.5, -80.5 with movement NE at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 976 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics