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Hurricane Oscar Forecast Advisory Number 5
2024-10-20 10:43:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 161 WTNT21 KNHC 200843 TCMAT1 HURRICANE OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 0900 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 73.1W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 5NE 5SE 0SW 5NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 73.1W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 72.7W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.6N 74.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 5NE 5SE 0SW 5NW. 50 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.4N 75.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.8N 76.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.7N 76.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.7N 75.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.8N 74.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 73.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 20/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Nadine Graphics
2024-10-20 10:42:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 20 Oct 2024 08:42:13 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 20 Oct 2024 08:42:14 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Nadine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2024-10-20 10:40:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 000 FONT15 KNHC 200840 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NADINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152024 0900 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NADINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Category: Transportation and Logistics