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Hurricane Oscar Forecast Advisory Number 6
2024-10-20 16:53:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 000 WTNT21 KNHC 201453 TCMAT1 HURRICANE OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024 1500 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 73.9W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 5SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 73.9W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 73.6W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.4N 74.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.5N 75.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.1N 76.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.1N 75.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.0N 73.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 73.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 20/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Remnants of Nadine (AT5/AL152024)
2024-10-20 16:48:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NADINE DISSIPATED OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING STILL EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF BELIZE, GUATEMALA, AND MEXICO... As of 10:00 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 the center of Nadine was located near 16.5, -93.0 with movement WSW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Remnants of Nadine Public Advisory Number 8
2024-10-20 16:48:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2024 797 WTNT35 KNHC 201440 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Remnants Of Nadine Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024 1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2024 ...NADINE DISSIPATED OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING STILL EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF BELIZE, GUATEMALA, AND MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 93.0W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Nadine were located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 93.0 West. The remnants are moving toward the west-southwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and they are expected to move into the eastern Pacific later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The combination of the remnants of Nadine and influences from a Gulf of Tehuantepec gap wind event are forecast to result in the formation of a new low pressure system off the coast of southern Mexico in a day or so. Additional development is expected after that time, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the early to middle part of this week while the system moves westward at about 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico. For additional information on the remnants of Nadine please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php, and the latest updates in the East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook on the web at hurricanes.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for the remnants of Nadine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml RAINFALL: Additional rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated areas up to 12 inches, are expected across the Mexican states of Chiapas and Tabasco into Veracruz and Oaxaca through Tuesday morning. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches, with isolated amounts up to 4 inches, are expected for the remaining portions of southeastern Mexico into Guatemala and Belize. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with the remnants Nadine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Landsea
Category: Transportation and Logistics