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Post-Tropical Cyclone Cosme Graphics
2025-06-11 16:36:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 11 Jun 2025 14:36:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 11 Jun 2025 14:36:42 GMT [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Cosme Forecast Discussion Number 13
2025-06-11 16:35:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 AM MST Wed Jun 11 2025 000 WTPZ43 KNHC 111435 TCDEP3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Cosme Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032025 800 AM MST Wed Jun 11 2025 Drier mid-level air and stable atmospheric conditions have taken their toll on Cosme. The system has been devoid of deep convection for more than 12 hours, with only a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds evident on satellite imagery. The initial intensity has been lowered to 30 kt. Given the hostile environment and ongoing lack of convection, Cosme is not expected to redevelop, and this will be the final advisory. The low is now moving toward the east-northeast at about 070/6 kt. Global model guidance indicates a gradual turn toward the north-northeast later today, followed by a turn to the north on Thursday, as the system steadily spins down and dissipates over the next day or so. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/1500Z 16.4N 113.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 12/0000Z 17.0N 113.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 12/1200Z 17.8N 113.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kelly/Gibbs [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Post-Tropical Cyclone Cosme Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2025-06-11 16:35:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 11 2025 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 111435 PWSEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032025 1500 UTC WED JUN 11 2025 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER KELLY/GIBBS [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics