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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2025-06-16 04:34:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON JUN 16 2025 657 FOPZ14 KNHC 160233 PWSEP4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025 0300 UTC MON JUN 16 2025 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 110W 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 34 14 6(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila Forecast Discussion Number 14
2025-06-16 04:34:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025 262 WTPZ44 KNHC 160234 TCDEP4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042025 800 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025 Dalila is no longer producing organized deep convection and has become a remnant low. Therefore, this will be the last NHC advisory on Dalila. The initial intensity has been lowered to 30 kt, based on recent Dvorak estimates and the UW-CIMSS AIDT. The remnant low has continued on a west-northwestward heading during the past few hours, but a turn westward is still expected tonight. The cyclone will should then continue westward for another day or so while slowly spinning down over cool waters. Most models indicate that Dalila will dissipate entirely in about 2 days. The NHC forecast track for the remnant low has been shifted northward slightly with this advisory, but otherwise the forecast is very similar to the previous advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/0300Z 18.6N 109.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 16/1200Z 18.7N 110.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 17/0000Z 18.8N 112.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 17/1200Z 18.9N 113.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 18/0000Z 18.5N 116.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Dalila (EP4/EP042025)
2025-06-16 04:34:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...DALILA BECOMES POST-TROPICAL... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON DALILA... As of 8:00 PM MST Sun Jun 15 the center of Dalila was located near 18.6, -109.2 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph. [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics