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Post-Tropical Cyclone Erick Forecast Discussion Number 15

2025-06-20 04:34:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 900 PM CST Thu Jun 19 2025 363 WTPZ45 KNHC 200233 TCDEP5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Erick Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052025 900 PM CST Thu Jun 19 2025 Erick has continued to rapidly weaken over Mexico, as the system is no longer producing organized convection and the circulation has become poorly defined. Based on these developments, the cyclone is downgraded to a remnant low pressure area and this will be the last advisory. A 12-h forecast point is included, but the circulation may well dissipate before 12 h. Although Erick is no longer a tropical cyclone, heavy rains will linger over portions of southern and southwestern Mexico through tonight. This is the last tropical cyclone discussion issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on this system can be found in products from the Meteorological Service of Mexico. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Erick will continue to produce heavy rainfall across portions of Southwest Mexico overnight. Life-threatening flooding and mudslides are likely, especially in areas of steep terrain. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/0300Z 18.0N 100.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 12H 20/1200Z 18.7N 102.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven [ more ]


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