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Post-Tropical Cyclone Erick Public Advisory Number 15
2025-06-20 04:33:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM CST Thu Jun 19 2025 628 WTPZ35 KNHC 200232 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Erick Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052025 900 PM CST Thu Jun 19 2025 ...ERICK DECAYS TO A LOW PRESSURE AREA... ...THREAT OF FLOODING RAINS CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 100.8W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM NW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Erick was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 100.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue until the system dissipates over Mexico. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected, and the post-tropical low is expected to dissipate later tonight or early Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Erick can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC. RAINFALL: Erick will produce additional rainfall of 3 to 6 inches through the night mainly in the state of Guerrero with storm totals of 16 inches possible. Life-threatening flooding and mudslides are expected, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches, with maximum totals of 5 inches, are expected across the states of Michoacan and Oaxaca. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Erick, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf WIND: A few wind gusts to tropical-storm force may occur this evening in squalls and in mountainous regions near the center of Erick. STORM SURGE: Storm surge is expected to gradually subside through tonight. SURF: Swells generated by Erick will continue affecting the coast of southern Mexico through the evening. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in products issued by the Meteorological Service of Mexico. $$ Forecaster Beven [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Post-Tropical Cyclone Erick Forecast Advisory Number 15
2025-06-20 04:32:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUN 20 2025 202 WTPZ25 KNHC 200232 TCMEP5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025 0300 UTC FRI JUN 20 2025 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 100.8W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 100.8W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 100.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.7N 102.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 100.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Erick Graphics
2025-06-20 01:39:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 19 Jun 2025 23:38:51 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 19 Jun 2025 21:21:40 GMT [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics