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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kirk Wind Speed Probabilities Number 33

2024-10-07 16:41:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 07 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 071441 PWSAT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KIRK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 1500 UTC MON OCT 07 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 22 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) $$ FORECASTER HAGEN


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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 33

2024-10-07 16:40:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 07 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 071440 TCMAT2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 1500 UTC MON OCT 07 2024 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 38.4W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 25 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. 50 KT.......140NE 150SE 110SW 110NW. 34 KT.......250NE 270SE 210SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 540SE 600SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 38.4W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 39.9W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 43.1N 33.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 130SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 270SE 220SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 43.5N 25.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 90SE 80SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 260SE 230SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 43.7N 16.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 70SE 70SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 230SE 230SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 45.4N 6.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 180SE 190SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 48.5N 4.5E...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 100SE 100SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.7N 38.4W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER HAGEN


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Summary for Hurricane Milton (AT4/AL142024)

2024-10-07 15:47:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...MILTON CONTINUING TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY.. ...FORECAST TO BECOME A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... As of 10:00 AM CDT Mon Oct 7 the center of Milton was located near 21.7, -91.7 with movement ESE at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 933 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 155 mph.


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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