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Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight Graphics

2024-09-15 22:58:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 20:58:04 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 21:28:58 GMT


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2024-09-15 22:57:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 000 FONT13 KNHC 152057 PWSAT3 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082024 2100 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DANVILLE VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) RALEIGH NC 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FAYETTEVILLE 34 1 17(18) 4(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CHERRY PT NC 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW RIVER NC 34 5 7(12) X(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MOREHEAD CITY 34 7 8(15) X(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) SURF CITY NC 34 16 15(31) 1(32) X(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) WILMINGTON NC 34 16 15(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) BALD HEAD ISL 34 40 18(58) X(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FLORENCE SC 34 7 36(43) 7(50) X(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 17(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) LITTLE RIVER 34 38 29(67) 2(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) LITTLE RIVER 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MYRTLE BEACH 34 45 28(73) 2(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GEORGETOWN SC 34 48 28(76) 2(78) X(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 27 27(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHARLESTON SC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 7 15(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight (AT3/AL082024)

2024-09-15 22:57:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND COASTAL FLOODING... As of 5:00 PM EDT Sun Sep 15 the center of Eight was located near 32.0, -78.0 with movement NW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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