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Potential Tropical Cyclone Five-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2025-06-16 22:51:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 16 2025 524 WTPZ25 KNHC 162051 TCMEP5 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025 2100 UTC MON JUN 16 2025 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 91.7W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 91.7W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 91.5W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 11.1N 92.4W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 11.8N 93.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 12.6N 94.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.5N 95.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.5N 96.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.8N 97.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.0N 98.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 91.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI/MORA/CANO [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-06-16 19:23:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
599 ABNT20 KNHC 161719TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 PM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.$$Forecaster Kelly [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-06-16 19:21:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
746 ABPZ20 KNHC 161720TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 16 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Offshore of Central America and Southeastern Mexico (EP94):Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located offshore the coast of Central America have become a little better organized this morning. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next day or so, while it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico. Interests in these locations should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rain are likely across portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico during the next few days.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.$$Forecaster Kelly [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics