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Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2025-06-12 22:43:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUN 12 2025 853 WTPZ24 KNHC 122043 TCMEP4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042025 2100 UTC THU JUN 12 2025 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 100.2W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 100.2W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 100.1W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 12.0N 100.4W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 13.3N 101.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 110SE 100SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.3N 102.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.5N 104.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.5N 106.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 85SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.1N 108.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.3N 112.2W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 100.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 13/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY [ more ]
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-06-12 19:27:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
275 ABNT20 KNHC 121727TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.$$Forecaster Kelly [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-06-12 19:26:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
098 ABPZ20 KNHC 121726TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 12 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:South of Southern Mexico (EP93):Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form in the next day or so while it moves generally west-northwestward. Interests along the coasts of southern and southwestern Mexico should closely monitor the progress of this system.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico:An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or early next week near the coast of Central America. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central America and southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.$$Forecaster Cangialosi/Zelinsky [ more ]
Category: Transportation and Logistics